EXIT POLLS: BJP may retain Gujarat; close call in Himachal; AAP may get MCD

A number of exit polls have indicated that the BJP is set for a record 7th term in Gujarat, while the race in Himachal Pradesh will be very close, between the BJP and Congress. In a smaller victory, AAP seems set to sweep the Delhi MCD elections.

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A number of exit polls have indicated  that the BJP is set for a record 7th term in Gujarat, while the race in Himachal Pradesh will be very close, between the BJP and Congress. In a smaller victory, AAP seems set to sweep the Delhi MCD elections.

The counting of votes in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh will take place on December 8. Elections for the Himachal Pradesh assembly took place on November 12, while polling in Gujarat happened in two phases on December 1 and 5.
MCD counting takes place on December 7.

The BJP ended up returning to power with a reduced tally of 99 seats despite its vote share increasing from 47.9 per cent in 2012 to 49.1 per cent. The Congress won 77 constituencies, with its vote share increasing from 38.9 per cent in 2012 to 41.4 per cent.

All exit polls predicted a big mandate for the BJP in Gujarat in the range of 117-151 seats in the 182-member assembly, while the Congress was predicted to bag seats in the range of 16-51. The Aam Aadmi Party was projected to bag anything between two and 13 seats. The majority mark in Gujarat is 92.

* The Exit Poll of TV9 predicted the BJP winning the Gujarat Assembly elections with 125-130 seats, while Congress is expected to get 30-40 seats. Meanwhile, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is predicted to win 3-5 seats while others would get 3-7 seats.

* Jan Ki Baat predicted BJP’s victory in Gujarat with 117 to 140 seats, while Congress is expected to get 34 to 51 seats. Meanwhile, it predicted AAP would win 6 to 13 seats.

* While the Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted 129-151 seats for the BJP , 16-30 seats for the Congress and 9-21 seats for the Aam Aadmi Party in Gujarat.

* ABP -News C-Voter predicted 128-140 seats for the BJP, 31-43 for the Congress and 3-11 for AAP.

* News 24 Today’s  Chanakya predicted 150 seats for BJP , 19,11 seats for Congress and AAP respectively.

* As per Newsx-Jan Ki Baat exit poll on Gujarat elections, the BJP was likely to get 117-140 seats, Congress-NCP 34-51, AAP 6-13 and others 1-2.

* Republic TV’s P-MARQ predicted 128-148 seats for the BJP, 30-42 for the Congress-NCP, 2-10 for the AAP and 0-3 for others.

* TimesNow-ETG’s exit poll
BJP: 38 | Congress: 28 | AAP: 0 | Others: 2

* Times Now Navbharat ETG exit poll
BJP: 135-145 | Congress: 24-34 | AAP: 6-16

* ABP – CVoter exit poll results are here
BJP: 128-140 | Congress: 31-43 | AAP: 3-11

The Himachal case
In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls projected a range of 24-41 seats for the BJP and 20-40 seats for the Congress. The majority mark is 35 seats.

* India TV said the BJP would bag 35-40 seats, Congress 26-31 and AAP zero.

* India Today-Axis My India, which claims Congress will get 30 to 40 seats in a 68-member strong assembly.

* As per Today’s Chanakya exit poll results, Himachal will likely see a hung assembly, with the BJP and the Congress getting stuck at 33 seats in the 68-member assembly.

MCD Elections
Exit polls released ahead of the Municipal Corporation of Delhi poll results on December 7,  showed a clean sweep by the Aam Aadmi Party, with Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) coming in a distant second.

In the 2017 polls, BJP won 181 of 272 seats, AAP won 48 and Congress won 30; BJP’s vote share was a little over 36%, AAP’s was 26% and Congress’ was 21%.

The voter turnout on December 4,  was only 50.47%, the lowest in municipal polls since 2007, when only about 48% of those eligible voted.

The India Today —Axis My India exit poll showed AAP winning 149 to 171 seats out of 250. BJP, it said, is expected to get 69 to 91 seats and the Congress coming third with 3 to 7 seats. Other parties and independents are expected to get 5 to 9 seats. Any party that gets 126 seats will get a majority and gain power of the civic body.

The Times Now ETG poll, meanwhile, showed AAP getting 146 to 156 seats, the BJP 84 to 94 and Congress 6 to 10 seats. Others are expected to get 0 to 4 seats.